Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.050760 0.055058 0.059400 0.064109 0.069065 0.074119 0.079655
2025-07-13 0.043624 0.049910 0.056482 0.063839 0.071820 0.080191 0.089608
2025-07-20 0.038553 0.046262 0.054567 0.064122 0.074751 0.086156 0.099260
2025-07-27 0.035016 0.043849 0.053622 0.065132 0.078209 0.092505 0.109215
2025-08-03 0.032472 0.042256 0.053340 0.066661 0.082073 0.099188 0.119476
2025-08-10 0.028257 0.038356 0.050094 0.064508 0.081500 0.100677 0.123732
2025-08-17 0.025495 0.035959 0.048402 0.063974 0.082632 0.103977 0.129947
2025-08-24 0.023065 0.033774 0.046794 0.063385 0.083566 0.106945 0.135701
2025-08-31 0.022054 0.033289 0.047193 0.065162 0.087277 0.113146 0.145225
2025-09-07 0.020887 0.032507 0.047145 0.066327 0.090207 0.118399 0.153636
2025-09-14 0.019651 0.031543 0.046791 0.067049 0.092549 0.122924 0.161176
2025-09-21 0.018327 0.030370 0.046092 0.067270 0.094223 0.126613 0.167703
2025-09-28 0.017733 0.030194 0.046714 0.069223 0.098133 0.133126 0.177782
2025-10-05 0.016236 0.028658 0.045459 0.068692 0.098881 0.135758 0.183171
2025-10-12 0.015121 0.027597 0.044784 0.068873 0.100500 0.139446 0.189852
2025-10-19 0.014382 0.027038 0.044755 0.069876 0.103154 0.144415 0.198114
2025-10-26 0.013889 0.026812 0.045165 0.071453 0.106549 0.150321 0.207561
2025-11-02 0.012226 0.024681 0.042796 0.069183 0.104854 0.149770 0.208956
2025-11-09 0.011210 0.023493 0.041714 0.068618 0.105356 0.151966 0.213755
2025-11-16 0.010259 0.022342 0.040629 0.067997 0.105743 0.153989 0.218322
2025-11-23 0.010042 0.022392 0.041312 0.069859 0.109464 0.160309 0.228342
2025-11-30 0.009671 0.022157 0.041550 0.071080 0.112321 0.165524 0.236984
2025-12-07 0.009207 0.021730 0.041473 0.071836 0.114540 0.169916 0.244595